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2024-12-14 03:55:14

Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.US Treasury Secretary Yellen: The oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. Russia has invested a lot of money in its fleet to avoid the western oil price cap sanctions.Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.


Turkish Defense Ministry source: Syrian allies continue to advance in northern Syria to "eliminate terrorism".Turkish Defense Ministry source: Syrian allies continue to advance in northern Syria to "eliminate terrorism".Han Yong's bribery case of illegally accepting property of more than 261 million yuan was heard in the first instance. On December 12, 2024, the Nanning Intermediate People's Court of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region held a trial in the first instance to hear the bribery case of Han Yong, former deputy director of Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Population, Resources and Environment Committee and former party secretary and chairman of Shaanxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference. The Nanning Municipal People's Procuratorate sued the accusation: From 1993 to 2023, the defendant Han Yong took advantage of his position as Party Secretary and Procurator-General of Songyuan Municipal People's Procuratorate of Jilin Province, Party Member and Deputy Procurator-General of Jilin Provincial People's Procuratorate, Deputy Secretary of Jilin Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, Standing Committee of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Party Committee, Minister and Deputy Secretary of Organization Department, Party Secretary and Chairman of Shaanxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference, and the convenience of his authority and position to help relevant units and individuals in business operation, project contracting and cadre appointment. The procuratorial organ requested Han Yong to be investigated for criminal responsibility for accepting bribes.


Israeli: Community alarm sounded near Gaza.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Jinmo Technology: The reserve price for the transfer of 40% equity of Mo Tian Jun Fu is 9,980,600 yuan. Jinmo Technology announced that the company held the 28th meeting of the 4th Board of Directors on November 29th, 2024, and reviewed and approved the Proposal on Authorizing the General Manager's Office to Transfer the Equity of Joint Venture. Authorized by the resolution of the board of directors, the company entrusted Southwest United Assets and Equity Exchange to publicly list and transfer 40% equity of Beijing Mo Tian Jun Fu Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a reserve price of 9,980,600 yuan. Aerofilm Technology Development Group Co., Ltd. became the final transferee, with a transaction price of 9,980,600 yuan. Aerofilm Technology holds 23.63% shares of Jinmo Technology, which is the controlling shareholder of the company and also the shareholder holding more than 5% shares. This transaction constitutes a connected transaction.

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